Rotation, not deforestation
Standard methods based on satellite images only consider what the ground is covered with, but not which land use systems are involved. This has the disadvantage that fallow land, such as in the Naga region, on which secondary forests have grown back after five to seven years, is simply recognized and classified as “forest”. Looking at these areas again after 10 or 15 years, satellite images show that they are (again) being used for farming. This is usually wrongly interpreted as deforestation, although these are the regeneration areas of shifting cultivation.
CDE and the local Indigenous organization RRtIP have been conducting research in shifting cultivation and Indigenous land governance systems across the Naga Hills in Myanmar.
Methodology
To analyse the spatial dynamics over time, CDE scientists used Google Earth Engine to identify the specific space-time pattern of deforestation associated with Jhum from satellite data, as well as the increase in biomass during the fallow period. For the analyses of the Naga areas in Myanmar, the entire high-resolution Landsat satellite image archive from 1987 to 2020 was searched and cloud-free images were created for the dry season – the time when old plots are cleared and prepared for cultivation.
The image series from the dry season were analysed for changes in the spectral information on which vegetation indices such as the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) are based. This provides information about the density of the vegetation cover. Algorithms that focus on specific patterns of shifting cultivation, such as the decrease and increase in biomass, can be used to recognize the clearings that can be traced back to shifting cultivation. The lengths of the fallow periods can be derived from this.
The average fallow period for the approximately 90,000 hectares of land used for shifting cultivation in the Naga areas analysed is 13 years. A closer look at the Jhum clearings reveals the rotation of plots – and also clearly shows that they do not extend into forest areas.
In short
Research results show that the Naga areas are neither deforestation nor “virgin” land, but an agroforestry system based on rotation.